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THE PROGRESSIVE REVIEW - June 14, 2010
Primary Results Show Battle Ahead for Incumbents
by: Yana Kunichoff
truthout-Report
In the primary results Wednesday, three high-profile
legislator bypassed the predicted anti-incumbent rage in
what may mark a turning point in the midterm campaign
season. On the Republican side, conservative candidates
prevailed, highlighting the possible strength of the Tea
Party in this electoral cycle.
Incumbents Sens. Barbara Boxer (D-California), Blanche
Lincoln (D-Arkansas) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
(D-Nevada) survived the tumultuous primary voting to fight
another ballot.
In Arkansas, voters chose Lincoln for the Democratic Senate
primary over Lt. Gov. Bill Halter. She will face Rep. John
Boozman (R) in November's general election.
Lincoln, a two-term senator, was pegged as a likely victim
of voter anger at veteran politicians. She is seen as one
of the deciding votes in the contentious health care
reform bill, and in 2008, President Obama fared poorly in
Arkansas. Organized labor and progressive activists spent
$65 million supporting her opponent, their preferred
candidate, but despite this. she won the primary, dubbing
herself "Arkansas's new comeback kid." The nickname was
borrowed from Bill Clinton, who helped campaigned for
Lincoln's primary seat.
Senator Boxer will face Carly Fiorina, the former chief
executive of Hewlett-Packard and winner of the Republican
Senate primary in California, in November. Fiorina is
reported to have spent millions of her own money for the
seat, and was endorsed by Tea Party figurehead Sarah Palin.
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The winners of the gubernatorial primary in California were
Meg Whitman, former chief executive of eBay for the GOP,
and Attorney General Jerry Brown for the Democrats. This
may be the most expensive governor's race in California
history, according to Lynn Vavreck, director of the
University of California-Los Angeles's Center for the Study
of Campaigns, in which the combined spending of the two
candidates is expected to top $100 million.
Voters in California also approved Proposition 14, which
would replace the traditional partisan primaries in
legislative races with candidates for an office running
on a single ballot, regardless of party affiliation. The
main two vote-getters would then advance to the general
election. Washington State already has a similar system.
Democratic voters in Nevada chose incumbent Senate Majority
Leader Reid, who will face former state assemblywoman
Sharron Angle, winner of the Republican Senate primary, in
November. Angle was backed by the Tea Party Express and the
Club for Growth, which together spent about $1 million on
her candidacy. Reid, however, has $9 million in the bank
and is expected to raise close to $25 million to keep his
seat.
In other states, the incumbent candidates were not so
lucky.
The incumbent House Republican in South Carolina, Bob
Inglis, has been forced into a runoff election with county
solicitor Trey Gowdy to keep his seat. Inglis has been
pegged by The New York Times as providing evidence that
anger against incumbents applies to both parties heading
into the November election. Inglis's record of support for
the unpopular financial bailout and vote against the Iraq
troop surge could make him the third House incumbent (and
second Republican) to fall this year.
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In South Carolina's gubernatorial primary, Indian-American
Republican state Rep. Nikki Haley could be the first woman
and first racial minority elected governor if she beats
Rep. J. Gresham Barrett in the June 22 runoff. State Sen.
Vincent Sheheen won the Democratic gubernatorial primary.
In Virginia, Keith Fimian has won the GOP nomination for
the House, while Rep.Rob Whitman won the First District,
Robert Hurt won the Fifth and Scott Rigell the Second
District.
South Dakota voters chose Lt. Gov. Dennis Daugaard for the
Republican nomination for governer. Daugaard will face
Senate Minority Leader Scott Heidepriem, who ran unopposed
in the Democratic primary.
The former Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad won the Republican
gubernatorial primary, and will face Gov. Chet Culver (D)
in November.
According to the latest Gallup Poll, only a third of
registered voters would vote for a candidate who already
served in Congress, and a recent ABC News/ Washington Post
poll found much the same sentiment. If Senator Lincoln does
not win the race for Arkansas's Senate seat, she would be
the third Senate incumbent defeated this year, along with
Sen. Robert Bennett (R-Utah) and Sen. Arlen Specter (D -
Pennsylvania).
"You are seeing it on the Republican side; you're seeing
it on the Democratic side. The reality is, regardless of
what party you are in, if you're an incumbent and it looks
like the Washington establishment is backing you, you're
in trouble. It's the wrong place to be this year," Joe
Trippi, a Democratic strategist, told The New York Times.
"Both parties are having civil wars with their Washington
establishments."
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