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THE CONSERVATIVE REVIEW - June 4, 2010

West of the Potomac, GOP Hopes Rise
by Tony Blankley

Historically, the American public -- confident, independent
and undemanding-has not expected much out of Washington.
Live your silver lives of limousines, private jets, power
and celebrity; just do no permanent damage to the nation.

But in the last two years our Babylon on the Potomac --
with its irrational and unconscionable saddling of our
grandchildren with multi trillion dollar debt (and its
bizarre foreign policy of loathing our friends and our-
selves, and loving our enemies)-- has vexed the public
into a state of deep fear and anguish.

However, Americans don't stay scared long -- we quickly
convert fear to anger and anger to action. And so, now,
two years of national panic and fear are being returned
to sender in Washington. Now it is the ruling elite who
find their daytime thoughts fretful and their night time
sleep fitful. Welcome to the troubled mind of Washington
in Spring 2010.

Democrats look fearfully westward across the Potomac River,
wondering how harsh will be the people's judgment against
them for their disgraceful behavior.

Republicans look fearfully inward, wondering whether our
own inadequate performance in the preceding decade entitles
us to the public trust. (The answers are: To the Democrats:
very harsh; and to the Republicans: no we are not entitled
to the trust.)

These justified moods of Democratic Party fear of public
wrath and Republican Party indulgence in self-loathing
caused a particularly silly reaction to last week's
elections in Pennsylvania, Arkansas and Kentucky.

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The 8 percent victory edge of the late John Murtha's
staffer in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district
drove the Democrats manically to the conclusion that
they are almost home and dry in the November elections.
While that same election depressed the GOP into thinking
that they are unworthy and have blown a sure, dominating
victory in November.

Likewise, Democrats are thrilled that the philosophically
eccentric Rand Paul's win in Kentucky means the public
will turn against strange outsiders in November. And
Republicans worry that if tea party-supported candidates
don't behave like good little housebroken Washington
Republicans -- all is lost.

In both cases: Nonsense. Of the Kentucky vote, more in
future columns. In the Pennsylvania 12th election: It
was across the board anomalous. It was only classified
as a swing district because it is blue collar, went for
John Kerry in 2004 and McCain in 2008. But this is the
district, John Murtha's own, that he degradingly called
racist. Thus, perhaps the McCain vote in 2008. After all
this 2-1 Democratic district voted for Al Gore over George
Bush by a staggering 55 percent-44 percent in the 50-50
presidential race of 2001. The anomaly was McCain/Obama.

And, as the beneficiary of more pork and ear marks than
almost any district in the country, it doubtlessly was
more likely to vote for continuity -- especially as the
Democratic candidate was a top Murtha staffer who dispensed
much of the pork, but none the less said he opposed the
entire unpopular Democratic/Obama agenda of the last two
years.

Also, Democratic turnout was very high because loyal
Democratic Party voters came out in droves to punish the
top of the ticket turncoat Snarlin' Arlen Specter -- thus
reversing the intensity factor nationwide which is anti-
Democrat.

For the Washington Republicans to fall to pieces over
this result show just how fragile is the Washington GOP
self-esteem.

The fundamental fact of the 2010 election is that the
public intends to signal with its votes as strongly as
it can that Washington must reverse direction across
the board. The Washington GOP, rickety and unworthy as
it may be, is likely to be the beneficiary of this public
wrath. Its day of judgment will come in 2012 if, given
the power, it bungles and betrays again.

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While Washington may be nerve-wracked, there is a lot
of positive energy around the country, and many able,
conservative candidates ready to charge into the general
election. Consider California's 11th district.

This is a Republican leaning district (Cook Partisan
Voting index of plus-3; median income $61,000, strongly
anti tax) held by the conservative Richard Pombo for many
years, before his defeat in 2006. The tea party is active
in the district.

It is the most competitive California district, currently
held by Democrat Jerry McNerney, a down the line Democrat
who supported the Speaker Pelosi legislative position 97
percent, including voting for healthcare, cap and trade
and stimulus.

The likely Republican candidate coming out of the June
primary is David Harmer, who combines the strong support
of established Republican conservatives such as Ed Meese,
John Herrington (former California Republican Party
Chairman and Reagan Cabinet Official) and Mitt Romney,
with enthusiastic support from the tea party. This is
the irresistible electoral combination that has Democrats
up at 2 am drinking more than they should. But I don't
blame them.

Harmer was the featured speaker in an April 15th tea
party event attended by over 10,000 activists. For those
Democrats who hope to negatively caricature tea party
candidates this fall, Harmer will be a difficult target.
He is a very smart, principled conservative who-along
with a successful career in the private sector -- has
pulled off the trifecta of working as a constitutional
scholar at both the Heritage and Cato think tanks, along
with doing pro bono litigation for the conservative
Pacific Legal Foundations.

I interviewed him last week. And although very genial, he
obviously has a powerful mind and a deep commitment to
the fundamental values that is driving the public reaction
to Washington's terrible recent excesses. I hope C-span
covers the Cal 11 candidate debate this fall. It should
be fun to watch.

With Harmer on the ticket, I would bet considerably
more than a steak dinner that election night will have
California at least plus one for the GOP. In future
columns -- in the interest of reducing Washington GOP
hand-wringing -- I will point out other winning,
principled conservative candidates.

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