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THE CONSERVATIVE REVIEW - October 19, 2010

The Revolt of the Pampered
by: Pat Buchanan

For the fourth day running, France has been crippled by
strikes. Airlines are canceling flights. Travelers making
their way to Paris from DeGaulle and Orly face long
delays.

Tourists are stranded. The Eiffel Tower was closed. Rail
and subway traffic into the city has been curtailed. By
shutting down refineries, French oil workers may cause a
shutdown of gas stations and force the government to raid
the strategic petroleum reserve.

Millions have gone on strike. One in 10 high schools has
been closed. Students at secondary schools and universities
march beside workers and block entrances to paralyze the
educational system.

And what is the cause of this national tantrum?

President Nicolas Sarkozy has moved through the National
Assembly and is pushing through the Senate a measure
raising the retirement age for state pensions from 60 to
62.

For if France does not raise that retirement age, its
social security system will face a $58 billion deficit by
2018. Sarkozy's reform follows his victory in repealing a
decade-old Socialist law that mandated the 35-hour workweek
in France.

What world, one wonders, are these French living in?

Around 2050, those high school and college students will
be near or above today's retirement age of 60. Who do they
think is going to pony up for their pensions? Are they not
aware of what is coming for France and Europe?

Today, 23 percent of French men and women are 60 or older.
That will rise to 33 percent by 2050, when there will be
one French worker for each French retiree, if 60 is
retained as the age of retirement.

Today, 5.5 percent of French men and women are 80 or older.
By 2050, that doubles to 11 percent.

Who do the French strikers think is going to pay the taxes
for the medical expenses of this infirm and aged ninth of
a nation?

Where the median age of the French is 40, in 2050 it will
be 45. But that number disguises a far drearier reality.

Since 1970, the fertility rate of French women has been
below the 2.1 children needed to sustain France's
population, what demographers call zero population growth.
For the next four decades until 2050, the fertility level
of French women is projected to remain roughly 15 percent
below ZPG.

Yet France's population of 62.6 million is projected to
make a healthy leap to 67.7 million. How can a population
continue to grow when the birth rate for almost 80 years
running to 2050 is below replacement level?

Answer: As the French retire, age and die, France is fill-
ing up with immigrants coming to replace the departed and
departing French, and the millions of French children who
were never born because their potential parents did not
want them.

Where are the immigrants coming from?

Some come from Eastern Europe. But more are arriving from
Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia and the former French colonies
of the sub-Sahara. Arabs and Africans are populating cities
like Marseilles and Grenoble, and filling up the burgeoning
banlieues around Paris, where every few years, they go on
a tear and burn thousands of cars. For Paris police, the
banlieues are off-limits, except when traveling in
platoons.

These immigrants do not bring the occupational skills,
education or language abilities of French youth. Most will
not earn the wages and salaries of native-born French, and
thus not contribute the same level of taxes to sustain a
welfare state constructed by a Socialist Party that has
ruled France on and off for decades.

With the end of the 35-hour workweek and retirement at 60,
the peeling back of social welfare benefits granted to the
French in the salad days of socialism has only just begun.
They can march and protest and strike, but they cannot
avert the inevitable.

What is true of France is true of Europe, where not one
nation has a fertility rate that will replace its native-
born. Among Russians, Ukrainians, Estonians, Lithuanians
and Latvians, the death rate already exceeds the birth
rate. These countries have begun to pass away. And their
neighbors will follow.

With the financial crisis of 2008-09, followed by the
threatened debt default of one or more of the European
Union PIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain), all of
Europe also seems to be slashing defense budgets to save
all they can of their welfare states.

Which raises questions we debt-swamped Americans cannot
put off forever. Why, 65 years after World War II, are
we still defending these nations? When Europe has more
wealth, more people and a more lavish welfare state than
we do, why should we impose sacrifices on our people to
pay for the privilege of defending her people?

Instead of borrowing from Europe to defend Europe, why do
we not charge them for providing that protection? If we
are going to play Romans, why not demand tribute, as the
Romans did?

America is the first empire in history to pay tribute to
its satraps.

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