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THE CONSERVATIVE REVIEW - December 8, 2009
Obama's Exit Strategy
by Pat Buchanan
If actions speak louder than words, President Obama is
cutting America free of George Bush's wars and coming
home.
For his bottom line Tuesday night was that all U.S. forces
will be out of Iraq by mid-2011 and the U.S. footprint in
Afghanistan will, on that date, begin to get smaller and
smaller.
Yet the gap between the magnitude of the crisis he
described and the action he is taking is the Grand
Canyon.
Listing the stakes in Afghanistan, Obama might have been
FDR in a fireside chat about America's war against a
Japanese empire that had just smashed the fleet at Pearl
Harbor, seized the Philippines, Guam and Wake, and was
moving on Midway.
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Consider the apocalyptic rhetoric:
"(A)s commander in chief, I have determined that it is in
our vital national interest..."
"If I did not think that the security of the United States
and the safety of the American people were at stake..."
"For what is at stake is not simply a test of NATO's
credibility, what's at stake is the security of our
allies, and the common security of the world."
After that preamble, one might expect the announcement of
massive U.S. air strikes on some rogue nation. Yet what
was the action decided upon? "I... will send an additional
30,000 troops to Afghanistan. After 18 months, our troops
will begin to come home."
To secure America and the world, not 5 percent of the Army
and Marine Corps will be surged into Afghanistan for 18
months -- then they will start home.
Let us put that in perspective.
During the Korean War, we had a third of a million men
fighting. In 1969, we had half a million troops in Vietnam.
But in Afghanistan, where the security of the world is at
stake, Obama is topping out at 100,000 troops and will
start drawing them down in July 2011.
"Of course, this burden is not ours alone to bear. This is
not just America's war," said Obama. But if the burden is
not ours alone to bear, where is everybody else?
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Apparently, the Japanese, Chinese, Russians, Indians and
Arabs do not believe their security is imperiled, because
we are doing all the heavy lifting, economically and
militarily.
The contradictions in Obama's speech are jarring.
He says the new U.S. troops are to "train competent Afghan
Security Forces and to partner with them so that more
Afghans can get into the fight. And they will help to
create the conditions for the United States to transfer
responsibility to the Afghans."
Thus, we are going to train the Afghan army and police so
that, in 18 months, they can take over the fighting in a
war where the security of the United States and the whole
world is in the balance?
Moreover, the commitment is not open-ended, but condition-
al. "It will be clear to the Afghan government -- and...
the Afghan people -- that they will ultimately be respons-
ible for their own country. ...The days of providing a
blank check are over."
Most Americans will agree the time is at hand for Afghans
to take responsibility for their own country. But, if the
stakes are what the president says, can we entrust a war
to preserve our vital national interests and security to
an Afghan army no one thinks will be able, in 18 months,
to defeat a Taliban that has pushed a U.S.-NATO coalition
to the brink of defeat?
At West Point, Obama did not hearken back to Gen.
MacArthur's dictum -- "War's very object is victory, not
prolonged indecision. In war, there is no substitute for
victory" -- but to Dwight D. Eisenhower's, that we must
maintain a balance between defense and domestic programs.
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Obama was not citing the Eisenhower of Normandy but
President Eisenhower, who ended Korea by truce, refused
to intervene in Indochina, did nothing to halt Nikita
Khrushchev's crushing of the Hungarian revolution, ordered
the British, French and Israelis out of Suez, and presided
over eight years of peace and prosperity, while building
up America's might and getting in lots of golf at Burning
Tree.
Not a bad president. Not a bad model.
How can we reconcile Obama's end-times rhetoric about the
stakes imperiled with an 18-month surge of just 30,000
troops?
Stanley McChrystal won the argument over troops. But Obama,
in his heart, does not want to fight Bush's "Long War." He
wants to end it. Obama is not LBJ plunging into the big
muddy. He is Nixon coming out, while giving an embattled
ally a fighting chance to save itself.
In four years, Nixon was out of Vietnam. In 18 months,
Obama says we will be out of Iraq with a steadily
diminishing presence in Afghanistan.
What we heard Tuesday night was the drum roll of an exit
strategy.
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