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THE CONSERVATIVE REVIEW - April 6, 2010
What War with Iran Means
by Pat Buchanan
"Diplomacy has failed," Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., told
AIPAC, "Iran is on the verge of becoming nuclear and we
cannot afford that."
"We have to contemplate the final option," said Sen. Evan
Bayh, D-Ind., "the use of force to prevent Iran from
getting a nuclear weapon."
War is a "terrible thing," said Sen. Lindsay Graham,
R-S.C., but "sometimes it is better to go to war than
to allow the Holocaust to develop a second time."
Graham then describes the war we Americans should fight:
"If military force is ever employed, it should be done in
a decisive fashion. The Iran government's ability to wage
conventional war against its neighbors and our troops in
the region should not exist. They should not have one
plane that can fly or one ship that can float."
Danielle Pletka of the American Enterprise Institute,
Neocon Central, writes, "The only questions remaining,
one Washington politico tells me, are who starts it,
and how it ends."
As to who starts it, we know the answer. Teheran has not
started a war in memory and is not going to launch a
suicide attack on a superpower with thousands of nuclear
weapons. As with Iraq in 2003, the war will be launched
by the United States against a nation that did not attack
us -- to strip it of weapons it does not have.
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But to Graham's point, if we are going to start this war,
prudence dictates that we destroy Iran's ability to fight
back. At a minimum, we would have to use airstrikes and
cruise missiles to hit a range of targets.
First, Iran's nuclear facilities such as the uranium
enrichment plant at Natanz, the U.S.-built reactor that
makes medical isotopes, the power plant at Bushehr, the
centrifuge facility near Qom and the heavy water plant at
Arak.
Our problem here is that the last three are not even
operational and all are subject to U.N. inspections. There
are Russians at Bushehr. And there is no evidence that
diversion to a weapons program has taken place.
If Iran has secret plants working on nuclear weapons,
why have we not been told where, and demanded that U.N.
inspectors be let in? Why did 16 U.S. intelligence
agencies, three years ago, tell us they did not exist and
Iran gave up its drive for a nuclear weapon in 2003?
If Iran is on the "verge" of a bomb, as Schumer claims,
the entire U.S. intelligence community should be
decapitated for incompetence.
This week, in a hyped headline, "CIA: Iran capable of
producing nukes," the Washington Times said that a new
CIA report claims, "Iran continues to develop a range of
capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear
weapons, if a decision is made to do so."
Excuse me, but this is mush. We could say the same of a
dozen countries that use nuclear power and study nuclear
technology.
But let us continue with Graham's blitzkrieg war.
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To prevent a counterattack, the United States would have
to take out Iran's 14 airfields and all its warplanes on
the ground. We would also have to sink every warship and
submarine in Iran's navy and destroy some 200 missile,
patrol and speedboats operated by the Revolutionary Guard,
else they would be dropping mines and mauling our warships.
Also, it would be crucial on day one to hit Iran's launch
sites and missile plants for, like Saddam in 1991, Iran
would probably attack Israel, to make it an American and
Israeli war on an Islamic republic.
Among other critical targets would be the Silkworm anti-
ship missile sites on Iran's coastline that would menace
U.S. warships and oil tankers transiting the Strait of
Hormuz. Any Iranian attack on ships or seeding of mines
would likely close the gulf and send world oil prices
soaring.
Revolutionary Guard barracks, especially the Quds Force
near Iraq, would have to be hit to slow troop movement to
and across the border into Iraq to kill U.S. soldiers and
civilians. The same might be necessary against Iranian
troops near Afghanistan.
With Iran's ally Hezbollah in south Beirut, all U.S.
civilians should probably be pulled out of Lebanon before
an attack lest they wind up dead or hostages. And how safe
would Americans be in the gulf, especially Bahrain, home
of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, a predominantly Shia island?
And whose side would Shia Iraq take?
Would we have to intern all Iranian nationals in the United
States, as we did Germans and Italians in 1941? How many
terror attacks on soft targets in the USA could we expect
from Iranian and Hezbollah agents in reprisal for our kill-
ing thousands of civilians in hundreds of strikes on Iran?
Before the War Party stampedes us into yet another war, the
Senate should find out if Teheran is really on the "verge"
of getting a bomb, and why deterrence, which never failed
us, cannot succeed with Iran.
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